Ed Herman disagrees... though I can't see how the US can commit to a ground war? An aerial war with minimal US ground troops, perhaps employing NATO internationals instead of United Statesians - alá Serbia?
The Iran "Crisis"
A prelude to aggression
by Edward S. Herman & David Peterson
Z magazine, November 2005
<h4 align="left">It is a bit frightening to see how, even in the midst of the catastrophic aggression and occupation of Iraq, the United States, having engaged once again in the "supreme crime," is still able to mobilize the UN and its NATO allies to focus on, browbeat, and threaten Iran to abandon its nuclear activities or face some kind of retaliation. This collaboration occurs despite the fact that the case the United States once made about the Iraqi government's "weapons of mass destruction" threat, perhaps the single most discredited series of official lies in U.S. history, and while the United States is still killing Iraqis, having destroyed the sizable city of Fallujah and now giving the Fallujah treatment to a succession of cities that it deems insurgent-friendly, recently Ta! Afar, with no end in sight.
True, the UN and NATO allies did give retrospective sanction to the aggression-occupation and have given it substantive support-UN Security Council Resolution 1546 of June 2004 amounted to a complete reversal of their earlier refusal to sanction the invasion-occupation. But by analogy, if Germany and Italy had been sufficiently powerful, the League of Nations might have belatedly approved the Nazi occupation of Czechoslovakia and Poland, or Mussolini's invasion-pacification of Abyssinia, in the pre-World War II era. This is a form of Kafkaesque progress-toward recognition of the rights of those with the biggest teeth and sharpest claws to rule the jungle, sanctioned by the "international community" (i.e., the governments, international institutions, and some NGOs, often far removed from the people who they purportedly represent).
The United States claims that Iran's moves toward nuclear power would be "incredibly destabilizing" (Bush) and threaten "international peace" as well as stability, whereas presumably the United States really knows all about peace and stability, which it has so successfully brought to Iraq and which it and its number one client Israel has brought to Palestine. "Stability" in this Kafkaesque world means an arrangement approved by the Godfather, so that any real world instability is merely transitional, although it may last a long time and involve mass killing and vast destruction.
Another remarkable feature of the new "crisis" is that Iran is successfully portrayed as a villain and threat based on a distant prospect of its acquiring nuclear weapons, even as the United States and Israel brandish those weapons and threaten Iran with attack. If Iran did acquire nuclear weapons it could never use them against Israel or the United States without committing national suicide, whereas the United States has used them in the past and could do so now without threat of nuclear retaliation. However, if Iran built a small stock of such weapons it could pose a low probability threat of a nuclear response to a direct attack. So Iran's real "threat" is the threat of being able to defend itself (see Herman, "Iran's Dire Threat," Z Magazine, October 2004). In the present political environment, despite its recent setbacks, the United States can still get the "international community" to go along with its pretense that Iran poses some kind of genuine threat and to cooperate with it in containing that mythical threat-whereas in reality the international community is helping the United States and Israel contain Iran's "threat" to acquire an improved capacity for self-defense, and helping set the stage for another invasion-occupation.
The United States gets away with this despite the fact that it is unique in having used nuclear weapons-and against civilian populations-continues to improve them, and, more recently, has tried to make them smaller and more "practical," and openly threatens to use them once again. It has abandoned the commitment it made in signing the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) in 1970 that it would not use them against non-nuclear powers. It has also egregiously failed to implement the promise in that treaty to strive to eliminate nuclear weapons altogether. (In 1996, the International Court of Justice ruled unanimously that, "There exists an obligation to pursue in good faith and bring to a conclusion negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament in all its aspects under strict and effective international control.") The United States has also cooperated with its client Israel in allowing and positively supporting Israel's long-standing nuclear weapons program that has made it the only nuclear power in the Middle East. Thus, by cooperating with the United States in, its Iran-containment and prelude-to-aggression program, the international community accepts the blatant double standard: that only the United States and its allies and clients have a right to acquire nuclear weapons and only their targets are properly subject to international law and must be held to promises made in international agreements.
Of course, the argument is made or implied that the United States and Israel are good, need these weapons for legitimate defense, and are not likely to use them irresponsibly, whereas Iran is not good, supports terrorists, and doesn't need these weapons for legitimate defense. This is pure ideology and utter nonsense, confuted by even a cursory glance at reality (for a fuller picture, see William Blum, Killing Hope: U.S. Military and CIA Interventions Since World War II; Blum, Rogue State; and Noam Chomsky, Hegemony or Survival). As noted, the good United States is the only country to have used nuclear weapons and it did so against civilian targets. On irresponsibility, the United States has violated the UN Charter prohibition of cross-border armed attack, carrying out the "supreme crime" that the UN was designed to prevent no less than three times in the past seven years, and it and its Israeli client have systematically violated the Geneva Conventions on the treatment of prisoners and behavior in occupied territories, while Israel has ignored dozens of UN Security Council rulings, with U.S. support.
As regards the support of terrorism, Iran is not in the same league with the United States and Israel, both of which have often directly engaged in terrorism-i.e., wholesale terrorism-as well as sponsoring and supporting retail terrorists. The U.S. nuclear club and threat is itself a form of terrorism and the United States has repeatedly threatened nuclear bombing. Its "shock and awe" strategies are openly designed to terrorize, and in Iraq (as in Vietnam, etc.) it pacifies by the use of massive firepower that terrifies as well as kills. The United States eventually turned to civilian targets in Serbia in 1999 with the open objective of forcing a quicker target surrender via terror attacks on civilians. Israel has also done the same, its pacification process during its long occupation and "redeeming the land" on the West Bank involving the steady and brutal use of force and terror. Years ago Abba Eban admitted that civilians in Lebanon had been bombed because "there was a rational prospect, ultimately fulfilled, that afflicted populations would exert pressure for the cessation of hostilities." That is, Israel had followed a policy of terrorism, on Benjamin Netanyahu's own definition of the word: "the deliberate and systematic murder, maiming, and menacing of the innocent to inspire fear for political ends."
This wholesale terrorism, directly employed, is supplemented by the sponsorship and support of local terrorists and terrorist armies. The Israelis sponsored a proxy army in Lebanon for years, just as the United States supported the Nicaraguan contras, the Mujahadeen and Taliban in Afghanistan (in the 1980s), and Savimbi's UNITA in Angola. This is just scratching the surface of wholesale and sponsored terrorisms that Iran can never match. It is one of the great accomplishments of the Western propaganda system that these real and massive terrorisms are normalized, cannot be referred to by an invidious word like terrorism, the perpetrators allowed to be only "retaliating" and engaging in "counter-terrorism."